A recent article written by Jacob Goldstein* for the Wall Street Journal Health Blog entitled “Why More Medical Students Won’t Mean More Doctors” was noted, in which he cites an April 2008 report from the Association of American Medical Colleges, predicting a 21% increase in enrollment in medical schools over the next few decade.
Following is an excerpt from this 13-page report (available at no cost online from AAMC):
” Based on the fall 2007 survey of U.S. medical schools and an appraisal of future enrollment at new medical schools under discussion or development, the AAMC estimates that first-year U.S.M.D. enrollment will grow to nearly 19,909 in the 2012 academic year from 16,488 in 2002—an increase of nearly twenty one percent. The projected increase in enrollment primarily reflects growth at existing medical schools, with over 86 percent of existing schools indicating a current or planned increase in first-year enrollment. This growth would push the average class size at existing medical schools from 132 students in 2002 to 152 students by 2012. In addition, several new medical schools hope to enroll their first classes in the coming years. ”
Quote – from AAMC Report ( April 2008 )
Quite entertaining to read are the lengthening list of comments engendered by this article. Senior physicians, clinical faculty in academic-medical institutions, medical students, baby boomers and more have added their free-ranging thoughts about this topic. I recommend them to you.
And also to consider: why blogs – as one example of productive social networking tools – are here to stay. The traditional model of writing opinion pieces, submitting them to an editor who then decides (or not) to publish them in a (paper) journal, waiting months for comments or rebuttals to be published in a subsequent (paper) issue… both the model and the cycle have been changed, forever.
Finally, writer M. Mitchell Waldrop recently wrote an article of interest for Scientific American on Open Access, Networks and Science 2.0 (online – April 21 2008 ).
* A previous item written by Mr. Goldstein in April 2008 was the impetus for writing an a post on this blog about a new medical school in the planning stages at Hofstra University, to open in 2011.